Who Will Win the 2022 World Series?

 

Who will win the 2022 World Series between the Houston Astros and Philadelphia Phillies? More than ten years ago, we performed research on decades’ worth of championship results across the major sports, including the NFL, NBA, MLB, and NHL. Our goal is to quantify the impact of factors related to sports psychology. Early results are mentioned in our book, “Who Will Win the Big Game: A Psychological and Mathematical Method.”

Read more here:

https://carltonchin.substack.com/p/the-2022-world-series-who-will-win

Who Will Win the 2021 World Series?

This article is about the World Series and includes information on Skill vs. Luck.   

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Sports Psychology Quant Facts

The 2021 World Series is almost ready to start. What do the sports psychology quant facts say? Across all sports studied, it is interesting that less-glitzy statistics and factors are what wins championships. This may be true because of the higher level of competition. For instance, in football, the Super Bowl winner is more likely to be the quarterback who has thrown fewer interceptions during the regular season than the flashier quarterback with a higher QB rating and 40 TDs.

Similarly, in baseball, while home runs win regular season games, batting average is a better indicator of consistency and the ability to put together a rally against better pitching. That is, batting average is a better predictor of the World Series champion than home runs.

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Read more here: 

https://carltonjchin.medium.com/2021-world-series-who-will-win-skill-vs-luck-d3719979eaf6

Please note that we post more regularly on Medium, please follow us there: 

Who Will Win the 2020 World Series? Dodgers-Rays

Even after a Covid-19 shortened season and an extra round of playoffs, Major League Baseball’s top two teams will meet in the 2020 MLB World Series. The Los Angeles Dodgers and Tampa Bay Rays, the teams with the best records in their respective leagues, start the World Series on Tuesday, October 20, 2020. What do our “championship factors” have to say about the World Series?

Read more here:  

https://medium.com/@carltonjchin/who-will-win-the-2020-world-series-dodgers-rays-677f773e935c

Carlton Chin, a graduate of MIT, is an investment manager and portfolio strategist. When not studying downside risk and portfolio construction, he enjoys applying numbers and probability to sports analytics. He worked with various sports organizations, including the Sacramento Kings — and has been quoted by the New York Times, the Wall Street Journal, and ESPN. Carlton’s class at Rowan University contributed reporting.

Dr. Jay Granat is a psychotherapist and founder of StayInTheZone.com. He has worked with athletes of all levels, including high school athletes and Olympians. He was named one of Golf Digest’s Top Ten Mental Gurus and has been on Good Morning America, the New York Times, and ESPN.

Who Will Win the 2019 World Series?

The Washington Nationals and Houston Astros meet in the 2019 MLB World Series, with some of the best pitching match-ups we have seen in recent baseball history. What do our “championship factors” have to say about the World Series?

While many sports fans are looking forward to pitching match-ups, it is interesting to note that both teams are good at keeping rallies going. 

Read more here: 
https://sportsquants.kinja.com/2019-world-series-who-will-win-the-big-game-1839270519



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Carlton Chin, a graduate of MIT, is an investment manager and portfolio strategist. When not studying downside risk and portfolio construction, he enjoys applying numbers and probability to sports analytics. He worked with various sports organizations, including the Sacramento Kings — and has been quoted by the New York Times, the Wall Street Journal, and ESPN. 

Dr. Jay Granat is a psychotherapist and founder of StayInTheZone.com. He has worked with athletes of all levels, including high school athletes and Olympians. He was named one of Golf Digest’s Top Ten Mental Gurus and has been on Good Morning America, the New York Times, and ESPN. 

Quant Facts Update (54-28 = 65.9%)

It's been a while since we updated the official record for our Quant Fact predictions.  With successful picks in the 2019 Super Bowl, as well as the second half of 2018, our record has improved to 54-28 -- for a winning percentage of 65.9%.  

We study sports analytics and sports psychology and focus on factors such as the fundamentals, execution, and leadership.  These are concepts that athletes and sports organizations can "key in" on as they put together a team.  Our quant fact predictions sometimes differ from the general consensus -- and our record is a testament to the unique and strong combination of quant analytics and sports psychology.  

We will be publishing our Quant Fact predictions for the Final Four as March Madness comes to an end this weekend.  We have historically done well with college basketball.  Please check our blog (as well as our Sports Quant kinja page:  https://sportsquants.kinja.com/

Carlton Chin, a graduate of MIT, is a fund manager and quant researcher focused on portfolio strategy and sports analytics. An adjunct Professor at Rowan University, Carlton has worked with various sports organizations, including the Sacramento Kings— and has been quoted by the New York Times, the Wall Street Journal, and ESPN.

Dr. Jay Granat, psychotherapist, named one of America’s Top 10 Mental Gurus by Golf Digest, has worked with Olympic athletes & sports organizations. A former university professor, he has authored several books on sport psychology — and has appeared on ESPN, CBS & Good Morning America.

   

2018 MLB World Series: East Meets West

Several years ago, we performed research on decades’ worth of championship results across the major sports, including the NFL, NBA, MLB, and NHL. Our goal is to quantify the impact of factors related to sports psychology. Early results are mentioned in our book, “Who Will Win the Big Game: A Psychological and Mathematical Method.”

Since our book came out, our published “quant fact predictions” have been correct about 65% of the time — sometimes picking underdogs to win championships. What do the numbers say about the 2018 World Series? 

Read more here:

https://sportsquants.kinja.com/who-will-win-the-2018-world-series-east-meets-west-1829925471

We'll update our record after the World Series.

Quant Facts 48-28 (63.2%)

After the World Series loss by the Los Angeles Dodgers, our quant fact predictions dropped to 48-28, or 63.2%.  We will be posting a quant fact prediction for the College Football National Title shortly. 

Thank you for reading!