Friday, January 30, 2015

Super Bowl and NFL Articles

The big game is coming up.  Here is a list of our recent NFL articles:

  • Who Will Win the Big Game?  Since our book was published, our quant fact predictions have been correct 63% of the time while sometimes picking underdogs.  This article's prediction will count in our blog's official "quant fact" record.  
  • Super Bowl Square Pool probabilities.  Once your square pool numbers have been drawn, our popular article shows the odds of you winning each quarter.  
  • Deflategate article.  Interesting take on how numbers can sometimes be deceiving.  

Carlton Chin, CFA, is a fund manager and portfolio strategist who applies quant analytics to the financial markets and sports.  He has been quoted by the New York Times, Wall St. Journal and ESPN -- and has worked with sports organizations, including the Sacramento Kings for Draft 3.0.      

Saturday, January 24, 2015

2015 Super Bowl Square Pool Odds (By Quarter)

The Super Bowl is fast-approaching – along with interest in the popular Super Bowl Square Pools. If you are participating in a Square Pool (where only the last digit for each team counts), you are randomly assigned a digit for each team, such as New England 3, and Seattle 4. Many fans have an idea of what numbers are “good.” Here, we compute Super Bowl Square Pool probabilities by quarter, based on recent historical results.

Read more here:

Wednesday, August 6, 2014

Quant Facts now 41-24 (63.1%)

We split this year's NBA and NHL finals, so that our record is now 41-24 (63.1%) in major championships.  We selected the Miami Heat incorrectly, but note that the San Antonio Spurs were a favorite in the finals.

The fact that these relatively simple methods have posted a 63.1% winning percentage when regularly selecting underdogs -- shows the power of analytics and sports psychology.  

Carlton Chin is a quant fact researcher who enjoys applying math to everything from sports analytics to the financial markets. Thoughtful analysis can result in knowledge discovery and help to explain the world around us. Carlton has been a contributor to the Sacramento Kings Advisory Council, New York Times and Rant Sports, and has also been featured in the Wall Street Journal and ESPN. 

Dr. Jay Granat is a psychotherapist and has been named one of America's top mental gurus.  Jay coaches athletes of all levels, and has appeared in a variety of media outlets, including Good Morning America, ESPN and the New York Times.