Saturday, April 15, 2017

Who's the GOAT in Men's Olympic Hockey?

With the 2017 NHL playoffs underway and the 2018 Olympic Games coming up in less than a year, we thought we’d take a look at the greatest men’s Olympic Hockey Teams since hockey became an Olympic Sport in 1920. Several years ago, one of us wrote an article on the Miracle on Ice — and used Monte Carlo analyses to study how miraculous the 1980 US gold medal actually was.

Read more here:

Authored by Carlton Chin and Jon Hartley.  Carlton, founder of CARAT / Adamah Capital -- is a graduate of MIT -- and a quant researcher focused on portfolio strategy and sports analytics. He has worked with various sports organizations, including the Sacramento Kings on their Analytics Advisory Council -- and has been quoted by the New York Times, the Wall Street Journal, and ESPN.

Jon Hartley is an economics writer and researcher with interests in finance, macroeconomics and sports analytics. Jon is a regular economics contributor for Forbes and The Huffington Post and has had other writings appear in The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, Financial Times, and Investor's Business Daily. Jon has also appeared on Fox Business, Fox News, CNN, Bloomberg, and NBC. 

Wednesday, February 1, 2017

Who Will Win Super Bowl LI (2017)

We have completed our "Who Will Win" analysis for this year's Super Bowl.  Here is just one of the championship factors we reviewed:

DefenseThe old adage, "Defense wins championships," has proven to be true.  Defense is associated with hard-nosed, gritty work. Defense is typically more consistent – and interestingly, can overcome glitzy offenses - which are sometimes able to "run up numbers" against weaker opponents during the regular season. A large majority of Super Bowls (63%) has been won by the team with the better defense, measured by "points against." The Patriots led the NFL in this category this season.  Edge: New England.

Read more here:

Carlton Chin, CFA, is a fund manager, MIT-trained quantitative analyst, and co-author of “Who Will Win the Big Game?" He has worked with the Sacramento Kings on the Draft 3.0 Analytics Advisory Council.  Dr. Jay Granat, the owner of, was named one of America's Top 10 Mental Gurus by Golf Digest, and has worked with high school and Olympic athletes. Carlton and Jay have been interviewed and/or quoted by ESPN, the New York Times, and Wall Street Journal.  

Tuesday, January 31, 2017

Quant Facts 47-27 (63.5%)

We had a rare "no prediction" for the 2016 MLB World Series -- so our quant fact predictions remain at 47-27 or 63.5%.  Some readers said that we had things "right on" -- because we rated the World Series closer than most people had it.

We just completed our analysis of the 2017 Super Bowl -- and will publish the results shortly.

Carlton Chin, CFA, is a fund manager and quantitative researcher focused on the financial markets and sports analytics. He has been quoted by the New York Times and Wall St. Journal and has worked on sports analytics with sports organizations, including the NBA's Sacramento Kings. 

Jay Granat is a psychotherapist and founder of