Sunday, February 3, 2019

Who Will Win the Big Game: 2019 Super Bowl

Just a quick summary: the sport psychology factors we study point to the New England Patriots in this year's Super Bowl.  Many factors including big game experience, fewer mistakes by the team leader (QB), consistency, and defense -- all point to the Patriots.  This will count for our official quant fact predictions.

This year's Super Bowl does feature several story lines, most notably age versus youth.  Goff is entering his prime, while Brady is Brady (wanting to play until age 45!).  We'll update our record at some point, too.

Over the years, our Quant Fact predictions have been correct about 65% of the time, using sports psychology and numbers to get a different "viewpoint" on games -- and sometimes picking underdogs.



Carlton Chin, a graduate of MIT, is an investment manager and portfolio strategist. When not studying downside risk and portfolio construction, he enjoys applying numbers and probability to sports analytics. He worked with various sports organizations, including the Sacramento Kings — and has been quoted by the New York Times, the Wall Street Journal, and ESPN. 
Dr. Jay Granat is a psychotherapist and founder of StayInTheZone.com. He has worked with athletes of all levels, including high school athletes and Olympians. He was named one of Golf Digest’s Top Ten Mental Gurus and has been on Good Morning America, the New York Times, and ESPN. 


Monday, October 22, 2018

2018 MLB World Series: East Meets West

Several years ago, we performed research on decades’ worth of championship results across the major sports, including the NFL, NBA, MLB, and NHL. Our goal is to quantify the impact of factors related to sports psychology. Early results are mentioned in our book, “Who Will Win the Big Game: A Psychological and Mathematical Method.”
Since our book came out, our published “quant fact predictions” have been correct about 65% of the time — sometimes picking underdogs to win championships. What do the numbers say about the 2018 World Series? 
Read more here:

https://sportsquants.kinja.com/who-will-win-the-2018-world-series-east-meets-west-1829925471

We'll update our record after the World Series.


Monday, April 2, 2018

2018 March Madness: Title Game

We ran our sports psychology analytics and published our official quant fact prediction.  Historically, we have done very well with college basketball. 

Our published results have been correct about 65% of the time, often picking underdogs.
This evening’s title game sees Villanova tip-off against Michigan. What do our sports psychology “quant facts” have to say about the big game?



Please read here for more info:
https://sportsquants.kinja.com/2018-final-four-who-will-win-the-ncaa-mens-hoops-title-1824253318