Quant Facts Update (54-28 = 65.9%)

It's been a while since we updated the official record for our Quant Fact predictions.  With successful picks in the 2019 Super Bowl, as well as the second half of 2018, our record has improved to 54-28 -- for a winning percentage of 65.9%.  

We study sports analytics and sports psychology and focus on factors such as the fundamentals, execution, and leadership.  These are concepts that athletes and sports organizations can "key in" on as they put together a team.  Our quant fact predictions sometimes differ from the general consensus -- and our record is a testament to the unique and strong combination of quant analytics and sports psychology.  

We will be publishing our Quant Fact predictions for the Final Four as March Madness comes to an end this weekend.  We have historically done well with college basketball.  Please check our blog (as well as our Sports Quant kinja page:  https://sportsquants.kinja.com/

Carlton Chin, a graduate of MIT, is a fund manager and quant researcher focused on portfolio strategy and sports analytics. An adjunct Professor at Rowan University, Carlton has worked with various sports organizations, including the Sacramento Kings— and has been quoted by the New York Times, the Wall Street Journal, and ESPN.

Dr. Jay Granat, psychotherapist, named one of America’s Top 10 Mental Gurus by Golf Digest, has worked with Olympic athletes & sports organizations. A former university professor, he has authored several books on sport psychology — and has appeared on ESPN, CBS & Good Morning America.

   

Who Will Win the Big Game: 2019 Super Bowl

Just a quick summary: the sport psychology factors we study point to the New England Patriots in this year's Super Bowl.  Many factors including big game experience, fewer mistakes by the team leader (QB), consistency, and defense -- all point to the Patriots.  This will count for our official quant fact predictions.

This year's Super Bowl does feature several story lines, most notably age versus youth.  Goff is entering his prime, while Brady is Brady (wanting to play until age 45!).  We'll update our record at some point, too.

Over the years, our Quant Fact predictions have been correct about 65% of the time, using sports psychology and numbers to get a different "viewpoint" on games -- and sometimes picking underdogs.

Carlton Chin, a graduate of MIT, is an investment manager and portfolio strategist. When not studying downside risk and portfolio construction, he enjoys applying numbers and probability to sports analytics. He worked with various sports organizations, including the Sacramento Kings — and has been quoted by the New York Times, the Wall Street Journal, and ESPN. 

Dr. Jay Granat is a psychotherapist and founder of StayInTheZone.com. He has worked with athletes of all levels, including high school athletes and Olympians. He was named one of Golf Digest’s Top Ten Mental Gurus and has been on Good Morning America, the New York Times, and ESPN. 

2018 MLB World Series: East Meets West

Several years ago, we performed research on decades’ worth of championship results across the major sports, including the NFL, NBA, MLB, and NHL. Our goal is to quantify the impact of factors related to sports psychology. Early results are mentioned in our book, “Who Will Win the Big Game: A Psychological and Mathematical Method.”

Since our book came out, our published “quant fact predictions” have been correct about 65% of the time — sometimes picking underdogs to win championships. What do the numbers say about the 2018 World Series? 

Read more here:

https://sportsquants.kinja.com/who-will-win-the-2018-world-series-east-meets-west-1829925471

We'll update our record after the World Series.