Friday, January 30, 2015

Super Bowl and NFL Articles

The big game is coming up.  Here is a list of our recent NFL articles:

  • Who Will Win the Big Game?  Since our book was published, our quant fact predictions have been correct 63% of the time while sometimes picking underdogs.  This article's prediction will count in our blog's official "quant fact" record.  
  • Super Bowl Square Pool probabilities.  Once your square pool numbers have been drawn, our popular article shows the odds of you winning each quarter.  
  • Deflategate article.  Interesting take on how numbers can sometimes be deceiving.  

Carlton Chin, CFA, is a fund manager and portfolio strategist who applies quant analytics to the financial markets and sports.  He has been quoted by the New York Times, Wall St. Journal and ESPN -- and has worked with sports organizations, including the Sacramento Kings for Draft 3.0.      

Saturday, January 24, 2015

2015 Super Bowl Square Pool Odds (By Quarter)

The Super Bowl is fast-approaching – along with interest in the popular Super Bowl Square Pools. If you are participating in a Square Pool (where only the last digit for each team counts), you are randomly assigned a digit for each team, such as New England 3, and Seattle 4. Many fans have an idea of what numbers are “good.” Here, we compute Super Bowl Square Pool probabilities by quarter, based on recent historical results.

Read more here: