Some experts focus on conventional football statistics like: points tallied, points let, number of acquires, number of losses, turnovers, takeaways, yards derived, yards let, quarterback ratings, momentum, margin of victories, margin of losses and modern performances. And these measures are applicable
However, Dr. Granat and Carlton Chin show how moral toughness, training, leadership, focus, errors, social relationships, attitude, and ability to get into the zone lend to success in ample games. And they have nonverbal data which support many of their theories.
“I enjoy applying my approaches to the world of sports,” remarked Carlton Chin.
The new book, published by World Audience, Inc., is named Who Will Win The Big Game? 50 Characteristics of Champions. This easygoing to scan steer identifies the key mental and nonverbal issues that coaches, fans, team owners, sports executives, athletes and bettors necessitate to be consider when evaluating two top teams or two top athletes that are meeting in an ample game.
Wednesday, December 8, 2010
Sunday, November 28, 2010
- minimizing errors,
- consistency, and
- hard work (for example, less-glitzy skills such as defense) --
Sunday, October 31, 2010
Wednesday, October 27, 2010
Saturday, October 16, 2010
Tuesday, October 12, 2010
- Pitching leadership (top of the starting rotation),
- Consistency factor (batting average),
- Minimizing errors (defense).
Wednesday, October 6, 2010
Sunday, September 12, 2010
- Head to head: Nadal holds the lead at 14-7, but Djokovic has prevailed in their last three meetings.
- Surface: Djokovic has done particularly well on hard courts versus Nadal.
- Nadal has had a great season, losing just four ATP matches in 2010 (compared to Federer's 10 and Djokovic's 12 losses this year).
- Our main "quant fact" predictor (BPP) points to Djokovic.
- Djokovic also has other factors such as the playing surface and
- current winning streak over Nadal.
Saturday, July 10, 2010
- Higher-rated team
- Defense: has won several tight World Cup games by the score of 1-0. Has not given up a goal in the knock-out rounds, winning three consecutive shut-outs.
- Big game experience: while Spain has not made it to the World Cup Final Four recently, they are the defending European Champions, so they DO have some big game experience.
- Big game experience: the Netherlands has made it to the World Cup Final Four more recently.
- Offense: the Netherlands have scored 2 or more goals in each of their knock-out round games. They also scored 5 goals in their 3 round-robin games (outscoring their opponents 5-1). Their 12 goals make them second only to Germany in the 2010 World Cup.
Check out our book "Who Will Win the Big Game?" -- on analytics applied to concepts of sport psychology.
Tuesday, July 6, 2010
- Over the past three World Cups (WC), Germany has reached two WC Final Fours.
- The Netherlands has reached one Final Four.
- Of the Final Four, Spain is rated as the best team.
Wednesday, June 23, 2010
Thursday, June 3, 2010
Wednesday, June 2, 2010
Saturday, May 29, 2010
Wednesday, May 26, 2010
Monday, May 17, 2010
- Who Will Win the Big Game? A Mathematical & Psychological Approach -- gives some interesting and original angles, particularly for playoff season of major sports.
Tuesday, May 11, 2010
- Crystal Bowersox
- Lee Dewyze
- Big Mike
- Casey James
Tuesday, April 13, 2010
Monday, April 12, 2010
Tuesday, April 6, 2010
Monday, April 5, 2010
Friday, April 2, 2010
Wednesday, March 24, 2010
Monday, March 15, 2010
- Big Game Experience
- Leadership -- on the court
- Leadership -- coaching
- Consistency factor -- three-point shooting percentage.
- Michigan State
- Ohio State
Saturday, March 6, 2010
- Both the 1960 and 1980 US Olympic Gold medals in ice hockey were won in the US.
- Italy had great medal results when they hosted the Winter Olympics in Turin, Italy.
- Some researchers predict medal counts for the Olympics before each Olympic games begin. In addition to looking at population, demographics, wealth, etc. -- a key factor is the actual host country!
- Home field advantage is well-documented across all of the major sports, with individual performances also impacted by this result. In baseball, players bat about 10 points higher at home than on the road, on average.
- The Canadian Olympic team highlighted the home field advantage by winning a record 14 gold medals at a Winter Olympics.
Sunday, February 28, 2010
Thursday, February 25, 2010
Sunday, February 21, 2010
Wednesday, February 17, 2010
Gold Medal Trivia Question: Which of the following is/are made out of solid gold?
a) Olympic Gold Medal
b) Nobel Prize Gold Medal
c) Congressional Gold Medal
(The answer is at the end of this post.)
What is the value of Olympic gold?
(Please click on the link)
Tuesday, February 16, 2010
Friday, February 12, 2010
Thursday, February 11, 2010
Saturday, February 6, 2010
- 4 of the last 6 games have been decided by 4 points or less, and
- 5 of the last 8 games have been decided by 4 points or less.
- About two-thirds of Super Bowls are decided by 10 points or more, and
- About 50% of the games have been decided by 14 points or more.
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All Super Bowls
- 2-0 in the last two Super Bowls,
- 6-2 in the last 8 Super Bowls, and
- 8-4 in the last 12 Super Bowls.
- 19-21-3 in forty-three Super Bowl games. Slightly subpar, with 3 pushes.
- When the point spread is 5 points or less (like this year), the underdog is 8-8.
- Sacks - a defensive category that is close, but favors the Saints.
- Takeaway-Giveaways - the Saints have been strong in this category this season.
- Defense (Fewer Passing Yards / Attempt) - a defensive category that favors the Colts.
- Fewer Fumbles - weirdly enough, this is a negative indicator. Some analysts have said that fumbles are "luck of the draw," more of a random event, as opposed to QB interceptions, that are an important part of a QB's skill set. Perhaps this leads to teams focusing on holding on to the ball -- but net-net -- this factor favors the Saints.
The team with more Super Bowl experience, as measured by Super Bowl appearances over the past three years, has won 63.6% of the Super Bowls. Although this may seem obvious, it's interesting to put a number on this concept. In fact, the 63.6% success rate of “Big Game Experience” in the NFL underperforms that of other sports partly because the Buffalo Bills had difficulties, going winless in four straight Super Bowl appearances from 1991 to 1994.
Quarterbacks, as the teams’ offensive leaders, are major factors in determining championships, but not necessarily in the way you might expect. Quarterback interceptions during the regular season are great predictors of Super Bowl success, but quarterback rating is not. Champions need high-level performance, but with few errors and mistakes. The team with fewer interceptions during the regular season has won 59% of the Super Bowls. This factor favors the Saints and their 12 interceptions, compared to the Colts’ 19 interceptions.
Interestingly, rushing yards per rush was the most important offensive indicator studied. The team with a better running game, as measured by rushing yards per rush, has won 59.5% of the Super Bowls. The Saints averaged 4.5 yards per rush this season, compared to 3.5 for the Colts.
The team that has achieved more double-digit wins during the regular season and including the playoffs has gone on to win 59.0% of Super Bowls. This category favors the Saints, with 10 double-digit wins, compared to 8 for the Colts. The Saints should be very confident as they prepare for the Super Bowl.
Factor Winning %
Defense – Points Against per Game (Rank)
Big Game Experience
2007 Super Bowl Appearance
Offense – Rushing Yards per Rush (Rank)