Wednesday, October 28, 2015

2015 World Series: Who Will Win?

Our quant fact predictions have correctly predicted the winner of major sporting events over 60% of the time, regularly picking underdogs and focusing on several angles that may be overlooked.  Here, we look at the 2015 World Series between the New York Mets and the Kansas City Royals.  

In a short series, anything can happen, but leadership at the top of your team's pitching staff is a great indication of baseball success in the playoffs.  This edge goes to the Mets with their young guns on the mound.  Edge: Mets.
The importance of consistency cannot be overlooked in sports. Teams and athletes get into a certain rhythm and execute successfully.  In baseball, we found that team batting average, as measured by league rank, is a great indicator of success in the World Series.  Interestingly, batting average is a much greater predictor of success than home run power.  The Royals were one of the top-rated teams in the American League in terms of batting average, while the Mets were below average.  Edge: Royals. 
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Carlton Chin, CFA, is a fund manager, MIT-trained quantitative analyst, and co-author of “Who Will Win the Big Game?" He has been quoted by the Wall St. Journal, New York Times, and ESPN-- and worked with the Sacramento Kings on the NBA Draft.  Dr. Jay Granat is the owner of and has been named one of America's top mental gurus by Golf Digest.  

Wednesday, October 7, 2015

2015 MLB Playoff Preview: "Who Will Win" Style

The Major League Baseball Wild Card games are over and we have eight teams still standing.  The St. Louis Cardinals have the best record (100-62) in baseball this year while the Toronto Blue Jays achieved the largest run differential (221 = runs scored minus runs against).  But will they win the World Series?  Here, we look at some interesting stats and indicators that have proven to be good predictors in the past.  Some of these metrics are related to concepts of sports psychology, such as a focus on fundamentals, leadership, consistency, and minimizing errors.   

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Quant Facts now 44-27 (62.0%)

It's been a while since we updated our "Who Will Win" quant fact prediction record, but there hasn't been a championship in one of the major sports for a while.

We correctly picked the winner of the NCAA Men's Basketball Championship (splitting the semi-final Final Four games).

We were correct in picking the winner of the Stanley Cup, but incorrectly predicted that LeBron James would bring the championship to Cleveland, albeit as an underdog.

Our preview of the 2015 MLB Playoffs (Elite Eight) will be published shortly.  Thanks for reading!

Sunday, April 5, 2015

Who Will Win the 2015 NCAA Men's Basketball Championship?

Our "quant fact" predictions split the Final Four semifinal games.  Here is our prediction for the 2015 men's basketball National Championship game.

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Carlton Chin is a fund manager, MIT-trained quantitative analyst, and co-author of “Who Will Win the Big Game?" He has been quoted by the Wall St. Journal, New York Times, and ESPN -- and worked with the Sacramento Kings on the 2014 NBA Draft. Dr. Jay Granat is the co-author of the "Who Will Win" book and owner of   

Saturday, April 4, 2015

2015 NCAA Final Four Predictions

Our official quant fact predictions have been posted at  We love the crystal ball-like photo that accompanies the article and hope our hot streak in men's college basketball continues.

Enjoy the games.

Carlton Chin is a quant fact researcher who enjoys applying math to everything from sports analytics to the financial markets. Thoughtful analysis can result in knowledge discovery and help to explain the world around us. Carlton has been a contributor to the Sacramento Kings Advisory Council, New York Times -- and has also been featured in the Wall Street Journal and ESPN. 

Dr. Jay Granat is a psychotherapist and has been named one of America's top mental gurus. Jay coaches athletes of all levels, and has appeared in a variety of media outlets, including Good Morning America, ESPN and the New York Times.  

Friday, April 3, 2015

Quant Facts 41-25 (62.1%)

Our quant fact predictions go the Super Bowl wrong this year, dropping our results to 41-25 or 62.1%.  Stay tune for our March Madness Final Four predictions, coming up very soon.

Please visit our SportsBlog, where we post our content first!

Friday, January 30, 2015

Super Bowl and NFL Articles

The big game is coming up.  Here is a list of our recent NFL articles:

  • Who Will Win the Big Game?  Since our book was published, our quant fact predictions have been correct 63% of the time while sometimes picking underdogs.  This article's prediction will count in our blog's official "quant fact" record.  
  • Super Bowl Square Pool probabilities.  Once your square pool numbers have been drawn, our popular article shows the odds of you winning each quarter.  
  • Deflategate article.  Interesting take on how numbers can sometimes be deceiving.  

Carlton Chin, CFA, is a fund manager and portfolio strategist who applies quant analytics to the financial markets and sports.  He has been quoted by the New York Times, Wall St. Journal and ESPN -- and has worked with sports organizations, including the Sacramento Kings for Draft 3.0.      

Saturday, January 24, 2015

2015 Super Bowl Square Pool Odds (By Quarter)

The Super Bowl is fast-approaching – along with interest in the popular Super Bowl Square Pools. If you are participating in a Square Pool (where only the last digit for each team counts), you are randomly assigned a digit for each team, such as New England 3, and Seattle 4. Many fans have an idea of what numbers are “good.” Here, we compute Super Bowl Square Pool probabilities by quarter, based on recent historical results.

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