The New York Times published our popular article on Square Pools in their Super Bowl Sunday spread two years ago. If you are in a square pool, the probabilities are interesting. To use the charts, find your numbers for each quarter on the grid -- and remember that Indy was favored two years ago (New England is favored this year).
Read more here:
http://fifthdown.blogs.nytimes.com/2010/02/07/how-to-spot-a-winner-in-a-squares-pool/
To see how various combinations of numbers have fared, based on every quarter of the past 43 Super Bowls, we computed the probability for each square to win at the end of each quarter. To inform our calculations, we also took into account which team was favored to win.
Read more here:
http://fifthdown.blogs.nytimes.com/2010/02/07/how-to-spot-a-winner-in-a-squares-pool/
We'll have our "quant fact" predictions for the Super Bowl out either Friday or Saturday.
