Our quant fact predictions have correctly predicted the winner of major sporting events over 60% of the time, regularly picking underdogs and focusing on several angles that may be overlooked. Here, we look at the 2015 World Series between the New York Mets and the Kansas City Royals.
In a short series, anything can happen, but leadership at the top of your team's pitching staff is a great indication of baseball success in the playoffs. This edge goes to the Mets with their young guns on the mound. Edge: Mets.
The importance of consistency cannot be overlooked in sports. Teams and athletes get into a certain rhythm and execute successfully. In baseball, we found that team batting average, as measured by league rank, is a great indicator of success in the World Series. Interestingly, batting average is a much greater predictor of success than home run power. The Royals were one of the top-rated teams in the American League in terms of batting average, while the Mets were below average. Edge: Royals.
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Carlton Chin, CFA, is a fund manager, MIT-trained quantitative analyst, and co-author of “Who Will Win the Big Game?" He has been quoted by the Wall St. Journal, New York Times, and ESPN-- and worked with the Sacramento Kings on the NBA Draft. Dr. Jay Granat is the owner of StayInTheZone.com and has been named one of America's top mental gurus by Golf Digest.