Quant Fact Predictions (Now 65%)

With the year winding down, it's a good time to take stock and see how we have been doing.  

• It's been a while since we updated the record of our Quant Fact predictions.  
• We are currently at 62-33 (65.3%).  

Note that we will have a prediction for the College Football Championship -- as well as the Super Bowl.  

Happy Holidays!  

- Carlton & Jay 

Carlton Chin, a graduate of MIT, is an investment officer focused on portfolio strategy and data-driven models. Carlton has been a professor at a local university and worked with various sports organizations, including the Sacramento Kings.  He  has been quoted by the New York Times, the Wall Street Journal, and ESPN.

Dr. Jay Granat, psychotherapist, named one of America’s Top 10 Mental Gurus by Golf Digest, has worked with Olympic athletes & sports organizations. He is the owner of StayInTheZone.com and has authored several books on sport psychology — appearing on ESPN, CBS & Good Morning America.

Who Will Win the 2021 World Series?

This article is about the World Series and includes information on Skill vs. Luck.   

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Sports Psychology Quant Facts

The 2021 World Series is almost ready to start. What do the sports psychology quant facts say? Across all sports studied, it is interesting that less-glitzy statistics and factors are what wins championships. This may be true because of the higher level of competition. For instance, in football, the Super Bowl winner is more likely to be the quarterback who has thrown fewer interceptions during the regular season than the flashier quarterback with a higher QB rating and 40 TDs.

Similarly, in baseball, while home runs win regular season games, batting average is a better indicator of consistency and the ability to put together a rally against better pitching. That is, batting average is a better predictor of the World Series champion than home runs.

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Read more here: 

https://carltonjchin.medium.com/2021-world-series-who-will-win-skill-vs-luck-d3719979eaf6

Please note that we post more regularly on Medium, please follow us there: 

"Who Will Win" Article for 2021 March Madness

This year’s March Madness action has busted more than a few brackets. Now that the NCAA Tournament is down to the Final Four, can our quant fact numbers make sense of the remainder of the men’s college basketball season?

Since that time, our published results have predicted the winner of major sporting events about 65% of the time, sometimes picking underdogs. Our predictions have been particularly successful for the Final Four. 

Read more here: 

https://carltonjchin.medium.com/can-numbers-make-sense-of-2021s-march-madness-9652180d43b5 

Super Bowl Articles

 Probabilities of Square Pool Numbers: 

https://carltonjchin.medium.com/2021-super-bowl-square-pool-odds-by-quarter-fd87c5cbccf0 

"Who Will Win" article

https://carltonjchin.medium.com/who-will-win-the-big-game-super-bowl-lv-2021-d18beae17043 

Enjoy the Big Game!