Sunday, April 3, 2011

Quant Facts: Prediction Update

With Connecticut and Butler advancing to the NCAA Finals, that brings our book's blog's performance in published quant fact predictions to 22-11.  It is notable these methods (quantifying concepts of sports psychology) regularly predict underdogs and upsets to win sporting events (for instance, UConn in the last night's March Madness semifinal game.).

One reader pointed out that the factors in last year's NY Times article for the Final Four correctly predicted each of the semi-final and final March Madness games (all 3 games) correctly.  

Combining concepts of sports psychology with quantitative analysis can be a powerful tool.