Sunday, May 15, 2011

NBA: Eastern Conference Finals

There is a lot of interest in the NBA Conference Finals between the Miami Heat and the Chicago Bulls.  Based on an analysis of factors related to the NBA factors we have researched in our book, "Who Will Win the Big Game?" -- and applied for the NY Times for last year's NBA Finals, we favor the Miami Heat over the Chicago Bulls.  Here are several of the key factors (2 factors for Miami; 1 for Chicago):

  • Leadership -- and star power.  LeBron James has his fans -- and his detractors...  In either case, he is an NBA "great" who can control the game and help "will" his team to victory.
  • Consistency -- field-goal percentage points to Miami over Chicago.
  • Defense -- points to Chicago.  
This prediction will count for our blog's "official" quant fact results.