Sunday, April 7, 2013

Quant Facts now 61.5% (32-20)

Our methods continue to perform particularly well in March Madness, with our quant facts correctly predicting the winners of both semifinal games of the Final Four.  Our Monte Carlo simulations also performed well, with predictions relatively close to the actual final scores.

Our model predicted a Louisville win of 69-62 (Louisville wins by 7), with the actual final score being 72-68 (Louisville by 4).  Similarly, our Monte Carlo simulations predicted Michigan to win by a score of 69-66 (Michigan by 3).  The actual final score was Michigan 61-56 (Michigan by 5).

Stay tuned for our analysis of the National Championship game on Monday.